June 3, 2013 at 6:40 pm #57546
A number of large international investors in distressed real estate are eyeing deals in Spain, raising hopes of a turning point in the market following the creation of a bad bank vehicle to clean up the consequences of a decade-long building bubble.
A planned sale by Sareb, the Spanish state-organised bad bank, of a portfolio of property homes, mostly in the regions of Andalucia and Valencia, has attracted interest from a host of private equity buyers. These are understood to include the US funds Apollo, Lone Star and Blackstone.
“It seems like the moment when it starts to happen,” said a person close to one of the buyers. “The flow of deals has been zero so far, but this should be the opening of the doors for a lot of transactions”.
Further on it says that investment bankers in Spain have noticed a big increase in the number of investors looking at Spanish property this year – something I have also noticed.
June 3, 2013 at 8:16 pm #117230
This is not good news. The next bubble could be coming far quicker than any of us expect. Not good.
June 3, 2013 at 8:22 pm #117231
I don’t think there is any chance of that.
You can rest assured that if any big funds buy portfolios it will be with deep discounts (around 80pc) and then they will try to liquidate as quickly as possible (that’s how they work and time is just as important as price to them > they want to get out fast). If anything it means a flood of cheap property on the market pushing prices further down. The opposite of a bubble.
So it’s an interesting question. What happens to prices if the big vulture funds start buying? My answer is lower prices.
June 3, 2013 at 9:04 pm #117238
Liked this comment 😆
How about the roulette table, perhaps 16 red, or is it black, who cares?
June 4, 2013 at 8:47 am #117245
Somehow this feels like whistling in the cemetery. Just an upmarket form of an enthusiastic agent desperately trying to talk the market up. Prices have still only got one way to go for the next two years… and it’s not up.
June 4, 2013 at 8:53 am #117246
There does seem to be a fair old push of Spanish properties going on this year, take a look at this article that was pointed out to some of us 😉
Never been keen on that old saying ‘cherry-pick’, it’s what all the agents were using in the boom days, next it will be ‘you cannot lose’ please no more of those old chestnuts 🙄
June 4, 2013 at 9:16 am #117247
And what are the investors going to do with all their ‘sitting tenants’ who are squatting in these properties?
June 4, 2013 at 9:34 am #117249
Anyone who has been on this forum a long time knows that the same stuff appears each year for at least the past 4 years.
June 4, 2013 at 10:00 am #117251
Totally agree with itsme, katy and grinningdog on this one, all spot on 😉
Where have you been grinningdog since your last post ❓ Really like your forum name, hope you’re a red indian chief ready to add some more common sense on the forum? 😉 😛
June 18, 2013 at 8:04 pm #117524
Thanks Angie. Not a red indian but I did have a (much missed) grinning dog. I’m lurking in the background, mainly because I’ve got an ultra-pessimistic view of the Spanish property market. I find it hard to believe people are trying to talk the market up when the government seems to issue a stream of market-killing ideas. The government should be making it easy for northern Europeans to come to Spain because they will spend money on builders, in restaurants, on food and fuel and garden furniture and…
Frankly it’s like the government is run by the Florida Real Estate Association as a way of funnelling people that way.
June 19, 2013 at 1:51 pm #117532
Grinningdog, well said, your analysis is spot on about the ‘talking up’ of an ever increasing glut of a property market that’s beset with poor exchange rates for Brits.
It won’t be long before loads of ‘inspection trips’ will be the norm again, then leading the unwary to the agents’ in house or chosen lawyers, followed by quotes like ‘cherry picking the best plots’ ‘you cannot lose’ ‘all our Directors and Managers are buying here’. Unfortunately people have short memories and the agents and developers will be swigging champers again in Banus for the number of sales they’ve made this week, and the worse thing of all, Spain has still not regulated it’s property market, still allows the con-men to flourish with impunity, and punters will be in negative equity because their properties have to rise 20% just to break even. Oh and don’t forget the ‘disclaimers’ in the small print so there’s no comeback if anyone believes the spiel 🙄 Bah Humbug 😡
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