2013 Spanish economy prediction.

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    • #57104
      DBMarcos99
      Participant

      Idealista recently printed this interesting chart. Note that Citi Bank are substantially more pessimistic in their outlook for 2013 than Deutsche Bank.
      I’m inclined to think Deutsche’s prediction (and a 1% decline is still bad news) will be the most realistic as they are a European based institution. However SocGen really should have good insights into the economy too (they have a major presence in Madrid’s financial sector) so it’ll be interesting to see which of those two banks have the better prediction.

    • #112853
      Fuengi (Andrew)
      Participant

      do you know if the chart takes into account inflation, etc…?

    • #114657
      Anonymous
      Participant

      This is bad news for anyone who hopes to live off their Spanish pension in the not-too-distant future:

      Spain Plunders 90% Of Social Security Fund To Buy Its Own Debt

      Mind you, the UK and US public pension plans are all bust too, so it’s not just Spain.

    • #114667
      Anonymous
      Participant

      @Mark: This is breach of contract i.e. the citizen & the state & these Government should be taken to Courts.

    • #114690
      GarySFBCN
      Participant

      No opinion from me on this – I’ll let the “experts” here fight about it.

      From the New York Times:

      A Mending Spain Finds Willing Bond Buyers

      MADRID — January is turning out to be a bumper month for Spain and some of the euro zone economies most in need of debt financing, with governments and companies flooding the market with bonds that have sold at significantly lower interest rates than just a few months ago.

      http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/18/business/global/18iht-spaindebt18.html?emc=tnt&tntemail1=y&_r=0

    • #114696
      katy
      Blocked

      Yes, it’s a win, win situation with the ECB virtually underwriting them…for now :mrgreen:

    • #114698
      Chopera
      Participant

      I thought the Spanish government had been using my pension fund to buy them:

      viewtopic.php?f=2&t=6484

      Anyways, let’s hope they’re taking this opportunity to sell them.

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