The latest polls, betting odds, and pound-euro exchange rate suggesting which way the vote might go in the UK’s referendum on EU membership on the 23rd June.
LATEST OPINION POLLS
For the last week or so the polls have given the remain camp a clear lead of 55% compared to 37%-40% for leave. However the latest YouGov poll on the 17th May narrowed the lead to 44% for remain and 40% leave, with a higher don’t know of 15%. Overall it was a good week for the remain camp in terms of opinion polls.
LATEST BETTING ODDS
The latest betting odds from Betfair show the remain camp gaining ground as the odds-on favourite falling from 1.33 to 1.22, compared to an increase from 3.25 to 4.00 for a Brexit vote. So the bookies think a remain vote is highly likely, and getting more so
LATEST EUR/GBP EXCHANGE RATE
The pound had a very good week against the euro, mainly on the strength of the opinion polls showing stronger support for a remain vote. So the money markets see a remain vote as more likely.
LATEST CELEBRITY ENDORSEMENTS
Jude Law, Keira Knightley and Benedict Cumberbatch are among stars who have signed a letter saying Brexit would “damage” the creative industry, reports the BBC.
Among others backing the letter are actors Bill Nighy, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Sir John Hurt, Sir Patrick Stewart and Thandie Newton, architect Richard Rogers, artist Tracey Emin, author John le Carre, comedian Jo Brand, fashion designer Vivienne Westwood, director Richard Curtis and writer Philip Pullman.
Canadian PM Justin Trudeau has entered the debate saying “Britain is always going to have clout, it’s just obviously amplified by its strength as part of the EU. I believe we’re always better when we work as closely as possible together and separatism, or division, doesn’t seem to be a productive path for countries.” (BBC)
The former president of the European Central Bank, Jean-Claude Trichet, has defended Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s intervention in the debate last week, when he warned that a vote to leave could cause a recession. (BBC)
Lord Lamont, a former chancellor, has described “this daily avalanche of institutional propaganda” as “ludicrous and pitiful”. (BBC)