House sales down 9pc and prices down 12pc in October say notaries

Home sales index

Home sales index

Home sales crashed and property prices plunged in October according to the latest data from the General Council of Notaries.

Residential property sales fell 8.9pc year-on-year in October to 28,418, and 10.6pc after seasonal adjustment, according to the notaries.

Year-to-date (first 10 months), house sales are down 11.3pc compared to the same time last year.

House prices fell 10.5pc in the same period, the fortieth consecutive month of decline, with the exception of August (when prices case a stir by rising 0.6pc). The average cost of housing in Spain now stands at 1,204 €/m2, down 36.2pc from the peak in July 2007.

New mortgage lending dived 22.5pc in October, with the average new mortgage down 5.2pc in value.

So there was no good news for the housing market in October, according to the notaries’ figures

Nobody expects the figures to show any recovery in November or December, so it’s safe to say that 2013 will not be the year the Spanish housing market starts its recovery. Maybe next year…

But I’m sticking to my opinion that 2013 will turn out to be the bottom of the market. I forecast that transactions will increase next year, and though average prices will continue falling, the rate of decline will decrease significantly, moving into positive territory in 2015.

Comments

comments

5 thoughts on “House sales down 9pc and prices down 12pc in October say notaries”

  1. elaine

    …quite remarkable that one report states house sales down, and in the same news letter a different report states house sales up! What a topsy – turvey phenomena Spanish official figures are!

      1. Anne and David Bell

        Mark, we made the plunge to buy in November and will complete in January 2014 and we used 3 agents to view with who were all very busy so your forecast for 2014 looks about right.

        Anne and David Bell Carlisle U.K.

  2. Mike Wallace

    Are house prices coming down still in the costas ,(costa del sol costa almeria) anybody and there dog involved in the housing market state property is selling and prices are starting to rise.
    Your comments please
    Mike

  3. Profile photo of Mark Stücklin

    Mike, it depends where on the coast. I think prices are still soft in most places , but there may be pockets, like prime Marbella and Ibiza, where they aren’t falling anymore. It also depends on the segment: vendors in upmarket segments have stronger pricing power. However, I can report the market on the coast is far from dead. There is a lot my buyer interest than before, which will bring a floor under prices as the inventory clears.

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